The Republican Presidential Field 2016

The Gilded Age - Trusts were the "Bosses of the Senate"

The Gilded Age – Trusts were the “Bosses of the Senate”

What will the American society of the future look like? What do Americans want it to look like? It could be the America of the Gilded Age, with its Robber Barons and mass poverty. It could be America of the Great Prosperity, the America ushered in by FDR. Where do Americans want their leaders to take them? It is an important question. Maybe the most important one. Without a vision of a better future one can hardly be expected to confidently navigate the country through the rough waters of global and domestic challenges lying ahead. Anyone aspiring to lead a nation should have a solid idea of where to take it and the means necessary to achieve his vision. All the more troubling is the insistence of a large number of presidential candidates to either refight long lost battles of the past or to sell a vision that chooses the Gilded Age over the Great Prosperity or no vision at all.

 

One can only guess what world candidates like Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee or Marco Rubio live in. But according to their public platforms none seems to either understand the key issues facing the country or if they raise valid points like reforming the too complex tax code they argue in the exact wrong direction. None of the Republican candidates even acknowledges legalized corruption or excessive inequality as an issue. On the contrary, their platforms look like they have been drafted in direct cooperation with the Business Roundtable and dipped in bucket of phony patriotism. They are mind-blowingly inaccurate in their assertions, contradictory and in part childish in their simplistic appeal to emotions.

 

Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee and Ted Cruz. - by Gage Skidmore

Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee and Ted Cruz. – by Gage Skidmore

Overarching themes of all Republican platforms are cutting taxes, strong national defense and the sanctity of life and it is debatable that any of these topics are among the most pressing issues facing the nation. Cutting taxes ties into the idea of “small government” which propagates that shrinking the government by the means of withholding tax revenues is in itself commendable. In reality the size of government has to match the number of services it is supposed to provide. If cutting taxes results in a lack of oversight of the financial industry, which in turn leads to another economic meltdown, no one can argue that smaller government is necessarily better. Hence, the idea that shrinking the government is in itself a good thing and will solve the nation’s problems is fiction, as is the assertion that the Obama administration’s taxation and spending is unusually high. Internationally the United States tax to GDP ratio is one of the lowest among the developed nations and tax receipts under Obama measured against GDP are among the lowest since the 2nd World War. The basis for the argument to cut taxes is simply flawed and renders any policy using it meaningless and misguided.

 

Closely related to taxation is the issue of federal debt. It is another top priority listed by most Republican candidates. Identifying the federal debt as too high is a fair point to make although it is sustainable at current levels and the US will certainly not default since it has control of its money printing ability and the recent past has shown that despite an excessive increase of the money supply inflation is negligible. Regardless, the national debt is high and its reduction a viable endeavor to pursue. But the ideas put forward are as far from satisfactory as they are contradictory and hypocritical. In the face of record high levels of wealth accumulation and record low levels of effective individual tax rates not a single candidate propose raising revenue. Instead they put forth the aforementioned tax cuts, which will only exacerbate the problem, and a “Balanced Budget Amendment”. The amendment in itself will not fix the deficit but it will prevent deficit spending and since the government every year borrows to cover its outlays it would have to immediately raise taxes or cut spending to adhere to the amendment. Raising taxes is not a Republican option which leaves only spending cuts. Now, since the military consumes 50% of the nation’s discretionary spending and the United States spends as much on its military as the next 10 largest military spenders in the world combined it would be the natural pick. Surprisingly, none of the candidates recommends cutting defense. On the contrary, all suggest “strengthening” defense: increasing the defense budget, a measure that will increase the deficit even further.

 

Federal Spending 2014. - source CBO

Federal Spending 2014. – source CBO

Where do the savings come from? The suggestion is for one Social Security. A program that has an 80% approval rating among the American public, has lifted millions out of poverty and has not contributed a single dollar to the deficit. A suggestion utterly without merit. Idea no. 2 is to cut Medicaid and Medicare, programs that provide health care for the poor and elderly. Again, a highly misguided proposal. It is true that the outlays for medical programs will rise as the Baby Boomer generation retires and it will put a higher burden on the government’s budget. But only for the owners of a very  special mindset the logical solution is to cut medical coverage for millions. Instead a first step to reign in cost could be to eliminate Medicare Part D and decrease the programs cost by allowing for negotiation between the government and the pharmaceutical industry. Nobody would lose coverage and highly profitable corporations, not the poorest Americans, would pay the price. But this would be a marginal improvement to an already dissatisfactory health care system. The most effective way to reign in cost, however, would be the introduction of a single payer system, which has proven to work and produces superior results around the world. None of the candidates suggests either solution.

 

A cut in Medicaid and Medicare for the poor and elderly would directly reduce prevention, increase overall cost in the system for the treatment of more terminally ill and decrease life spans of those subjected to cuts. The candidates in effect would rather increase the suffering of millions of the already poor than reduce the record expenditures for the military, introduce any kind of tax or even just close loopholes in the tax code. There are much more obvious ways to reduce the deficit. Asking the weakest members of society to bear the pain on their own entirely is unethical, shameless and backward.

 

Furthermore the programs are much alike in advocating for outlawing abortion. A discussion that has been had in the 70s. They declare support for Israel, the 2nd Amendment and highlight threats to national security. The federal government is described as the enemy within. Rand Paul uniquely adds libertarian focuses civil liberties and government surveillance. However, major issues relevant the United States like job creation, inequality, corruption, Global Warming or the necessity of infrastructural investment are hardly ever mentioned. If they are, cutting taxes and smaller government are the suggested solutions.

 

The United States faces severe problems. Money not ideas dominates its politics. Democracy is all but gone. Inequality is severe, so are poverty and the real unemployment rate. Universal health coverage doesn’t exist. Education has been declining for decades. The current generation of thirty year olds will be the first to be worse off than their parents’ generation. Yet, none of the Republican platforms addresses the issues or does even acknowledge they exist. The vision they express is an exacerbation of the status quo’s problems and their policy proposals are shamelessly pandering to the strongest elements of society. There are no bold ideas for positive, meaningful change. How will limiting access to abortions, cutting medical coverage for the poor and increasing military spending improve the American condition? The lack of legislative imagination and the level of political cowardice are breathtaking. It is a cruel irony that the Republican candidates advertise positions that would institutionalize the governmental dysfunction of Washington that they are so fond of decrying. Only one satisfied with the United States’ current situation, with the continued redistribution of the nation’s wealth to a small circle of already extremely wealthy individuals and corporations on the expense of the vast majority of Americans and the decline of the country as a whole should find the platforms offered by Republican candidates attractive. Those seeking to dramatically change the nation’s fortune will have to find that promise somewhere else.

Bernie Sanders – Democracy’s Fighting Chance

Democratic socialist. It is a rare label in American politics these days. For many voters especially on the right of the electorate the label “socialist“ will tell them all they need to know about any given candidate to dismiss him out of hand. In the case of Bernie Sanders, however, it is their loss. They are missing the most exciting and possibly transformative candidate in a generation.

 

Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders. – by Peter Stevens

That Sanders continues to declare himself a socialist in today’s America says a lot about the kind of character he is: unapologetic, straightforward, honest, independent. He is the opposite of today’s career politicians. He doesn’t care about a neat look, he seems to be uncomfortable in a suit and his speech is passionate but intelligible. In a time when Washington and the media echo chamber like to dwell in fake outrage and dishonest debate and politicians sell out their policy positions to the highest bidder, the Vermont senator’s message has been consistent for more than a generation. 30+ years, as mayor, congressman, and senator, Sanders has talked about the big issues the United States is facing – may it be campaign finance reform, income and wealth inequality, the faltering middle class or global warming – and he has been on the right side of every single one.

 

But more than just talk about the issues, Bernie Sanders puts his money where his mouth is. His voting record clearly reflects his fight for the poor, the elderly, veterans, middle class and workers and against the elite and vested interests that so poorly run the United States. He opposed the Iraq War, he opposed the Wall Street bailout, backs reintroducing the Glass-Steagall Act, breaking up the largest banks and prosecuting the crimes of the financial industry, he voted against the Patriot Act and mass surveillance and consistently fought for a fairer tax code culminating in his 8.5hr Filibuster against continuation of the Bush tax cuts in 2010. He is an outspoken champion of Social Security, affordable education, unionization and a single-payer healthcare system. Introducing campaign finance reform to diminish the influence of money in American politics – the most pressing issue of our time – is one of his top priorities. For this pragmatic center left agenda he has been called an “extremist” and a “fool”. He is neither and the American public in fact stands with him on most of these issues by a large margin.

 

Hillary Clinton. - by Marc Nozell

Hillary Clinton. – by Marc Nozell

A Sanders presidency is a long shot, however. Apart from wearing the poorly understood and therefore highly disadvantageous label “socialist” on his sleeve, the Vermont senator suffers from inferior media coverage, a lack of name recognition and funding. This fact is made particularly obvious when contrasted against the current front-runner in the Democratic primary: Hillary Clinton. The former New York Senator, Secretary of State and wife of former President Bill Clinton is a household name in the United States. She has been part of public life for over 20 years, she is enjoying ample media coverage and she is expected to raise up to $2 billion for her second presidential campaign. The mainstream media‘s bias in favor of Hillary Clinton is best exemplified by the condescending portrayal of Sanders as a potential influence on, not a legitimate challenger of, the Clinton campaign.

For the disengaged observer the Democratic primary is a non-contest in which Sanders is destined to lose. The Clinton brand is too strong, her war chest too big and the nation feels it is ready for its first female president. It basically is a celebrity facing an unknown contestant. For the well informed, on the other hand, it is apparent that the roles should be exactly reversed. The United States of today is a cancer patient, a country with systemic problems of massive inequality, social injustice and a thoroughly corrupted government. While Bernie Sanders not only identified but prioritized these topics and has been fighting for a fairer distribution of the nation’s wealth and income and against corruption for more than three decades, Hillary Clinton has hardly acknowledged any of the issues that are at the heart of the American condition. She herself embodies the very elite that runs the nation and has caused misery for the vast majority of her countrymen and women.

 

Top Contributors Bernie et al

Top Campaign Contributors for Bernie Sanders, George W. Bush, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Please click to enlarge. Source: OpenSecrets

Whoever wants to raise $2 billion as she is hoping to do will not raise it from small donations. The money will come from Wall Street, major law firms and major corporations and she will be beholden to those special interests if elected – much like Barack Obama has been ever since 2008. 40% of the top contributors backing Hillary Clinton’s last run for president 7 years ago were top contributors to George W. Bush as well (see graphic). In contrast, Bernie Sanders’ top donors are almost without exception unions. Workers, teachers, electricians or carpenters, the disappearing middle class, those suffering the most under the current system and who are worth fighting for. A vote for Hillary Clinton will be a vote for the status quo and the status quo is not acceptable.

 

Yet, currently Hillary Clinton still is the clear front-runner for the Democratic nomination as well as the presidential election. It might be for that reason that she can allow herself the hubris of running on her name only with two campaign sites that don’t have any stated policy platform and instead are solely dedicated to volunteering and fundraising. The issue most frequently raised on her Facebook page is voter discrimination. An important issue but also one that is inconsequential and therefore uncontroversial to her big business donors. A theme that is likely to continue throughout her campaign. Ultimately, granting greater access to voters won’t matter if the candidates keep on being put up from the ranks of the oligarchy. The nation won’t achieve meaningful progress if the country’s power balance stays unadjusted. Corporate America and Wall Street need to be taken on and Hillary Clinton just won’t be the candidate to do it.

 

It remains to be seen if Bernie Sanders’ campaign can take off like Barack Obama’s did in 2007 and if he can beat his well-funded opposition. It is in the best interest of the American people that it does and that he overcomes Hillary Clinton as well as the sad ensemble of unelectables on the Republican side. Bernie Sanders is the only candidate who will take on the American oligarchy, fight inequality and social injustice. He is the only one who will not be fawning over but cutting out proven failures like Robert Rubin or Larry Summers whose neo liberal ideas have long enough metastasized through the body of American politics. Bernie Sanders is the only valid option for meaningful, systemic change and change – like in 2008 – is badly needed. In the end, the Democratic primary might well decide the election and if popularity on Social Media is any indication, Bernie Sanders might have a fighting chance.